Confusion on compound interest arithmetic with Java - java

I hope this isn't a horrifically obvious question, but I'm new to Java and I've been creating a compound interest calculator. I wan't to take all the values that the user inputs and compute them.
P = present value,
r = rate,
m = times compounded in a year,
t = years compounded.
A = the amount at the end of the term
A is what I'm looking for. The formula for compound interest is
A = P(1+r/m)^mt.
A = Math.pow((P*(1+r/m)),m*t);
System.out.println("The amount(A) equals "+A);
I feel that I may know why the computation isn't working right, but I don't know the right way.

This should solve your problem
double amount,Principal ;
int r,m,t;
Amount = Principal * Math.pow( (1+(r/m)) , m*t );
System.out.println("The amount(A) equals "+amount);

I believe you formula is incorrect. You need to write it like:
public static void main(String[] args) {
int p = 100;
int t = 5;
int r = 10;
int m = 2;
double amount = p * Math.pow(1 + (r / m), m * t);
double interest = amount - p;
System.out.println("Compond Interest is " + interest);
System.out.println("Amount is " + amount);
}

Related

Optimisation in Java Using Apache Commons Math

I'm trying to minimise a value in Java usingcommons-math. I've had a look at their documentation but I don't really get how to implement it.
Basically, in my code below, I have a Double which has the expected goals in a soccer match and I'd like to optimise the probability value of under 3 goals occurring in a game to 0.5.
import org.apache.commons.math3.distribution.PoissonDistribution;
public class Solver {
public static void main(String[] args) {
final Double expectedGoals = 2.9d;
final PoissonDistribution poissonGoals = new PoissonDistribution(expectedGoals);
Double probabilityUnderThreeGoals = 0d;
for (int score = 0; score < 15; score++) {
final Double probability =
poissonGoals.probability(score);
if (score < 3) {
probabilityUnderThreeGoals = probabilityUnderThreeGoals + probability;
}
}
System.out.println(probabilityUnderThreeGoals); //prints 0.44596319855718064, I want to optimise this to 0.5
}
}
The cumulative probability (<= x) of a Poisson random variable can be calculated by:
In your case, x is 2 and you want to find lambda (the mean) such that this is 0.5. You can type this into WolframAlpha and have it solve it for you. So rather than an optimisation problem, this is just a root-finding problem (though one could argue that optimisation problems are just finding roots.)
You can also do this with Apache Commons Maths, with one of the root finders.
int maximumGoals = 2;
double expectedProbability = 0.5;
UnivariateFunction f = x -> {
double sum = 0;
for (int i = 0; i <= maximumGoals; i++) {
sum += Math.pow(x, i) / CombinatoricsUtils.factorialDouble(i);
}
return sum * Math.exp(-x) - expectedProbability;
};
// the four parameters that "solve" takes are:
// the number of iterations, the function to solve, min and max of the root
// I've put some somewhat sensible values as an example. Feel free to change them
double answer = new BisectionSolver().solve(Integer.MAX_VALUE, f, 0, maximumGoals / expectedProbability);
System.out.println("Solved: " + answer);
System.out.println("Cumulative Probability: " + new PoissonDistribution(answer).cumulativeProbability(maximumGoals));
This prints:
Solved: 2.674060344696045
Cumulative Probability: 0.4999999923623868

Loops, which to use, and how to stop it

My problem is: Suppose that one credit hour for a course is $100 at a school and that rate increases 4.3% every year. In how many years will the course’s credit hour costs tripled?
The rewrote this simple code many times, but just can't seem to get it.
I think i'm going about this the wrong way..
import java.util.Scanner;
public class MorenoJonathonCreditHourCostCalculator {
public static void main(String[] args) {
Scanner sc = new Scanner(System.in);
double cost = 100;
int years=0;
double sum=200;
double total;
while (cost >= sum) {
total = cost + 4.03;
++years;
}
System.out.println("The tuition will double in " + years + " years");
}
}
A rate increase of 4.3% means that in every step, the value is 4.3% bigger than the previous value. This can be described by the following formula:
V_n+1 = V_n + (V_n * 4.3%)
V_n+1 = V_n + (V_n * 0.043)
V_n+1 = V_n * (1 + 0.043)
V_n+1 = V_n * 1.043
In Java this boils down to simply cost *= 1.043;
You first stated " In how many years will the course’s credit hour cost tripled", but in your program you actually check for when it has doubled.
I assume you want to calculate the triple cost, so your program should now look something like this:
public static void main(String[] args) {
double cost = 100;
double tripleCost = 3 * cost;
int years = 0;
while(cost < tripleCost) {
cost *= 1.043;
years++;
}
System.out.println("It took " + years + " years.");
}
Which gives the following output:
It took 27 years.
I am not sure why you are adding to cost since it is a multiplication function:
FV(future value) = PV(present value) (1+r)^n
300 = 100(1.043)^n where you are looking for 'n'
Set up a while loop that operates while the future value is under 300 and adds to 'n'.

Java Population Growth Loop and Method; Improper Output

My task is to create a program that models population growth using the formula x_new = r * x_previous * (1-x_previous), where r is the fecundity parameter and x is the population. I have a working program and method. However, my math isn't checking out. I should be able to test for an initial population of .01, a fecundity parameter of 1.1, 1000 time steps and get an answer around .09).
Here's my program:
import java.util.Scanner;
public class Lab6Question3 {
public static void main(String[] args) {
Scanner input = new Scanner(System.in);
System.out.println("The population, p: ");
double p = input.nextDouble();
System.out.println("The fecundity rate, r: ");
double r = input.nextDouble();
System.out.println("Number of Time Steps, n: ");
int n = input.nextInt();
int i; //iterations
System.out.println("-------------------------------------");
System.out.println("Simulation with starting population " + p);
System.out.println("Running " + n + " steps");
System.out.println("Varying fecundicity 1, 1.1, ..., 4.9, 5");
for (i = 0; i < n; i++) {
System.out.println("r = " + r + " final population = " + p);
r = r + 0.1;
p = populationGrowth(p, r);
}
}
public static double populationGrowth(double population, double fecundicity)
{
double p;
return (fecundicity * population * (1 - population));
}
}
And my output is correctly formatted with the iterations, but the population results is wrong:
Simulation with starting population 0.01
Running 10000 steps
Varying fecundicity 1, 1.1, ..., 4.9, 5
r = 1.0 final population = 0.01
r = 1.1 final population = 0.01089
r = 1.2000000000000002 final population = 0.012925689480000004
r = 1.3000000000000003 final population = 0.01658620084090661
.
.
.
Any ideas what could be the cause of the pain? Thanks in advance!
When r reach 5.2 about iteration 43 your growth function goes to negative numbers, because x_previous is > 1 ... so 1-x_previous < 0, are you sure that model is right...it seems a conceptual problem. try to model it in an excel.
Another thing, you increment you r before calculate next p value. Are you sure is that right?

How can I turn this compound value function into a for-loop?

Okay so I am new to Java. I have a program that calculates the compound value after asking the user for a savings amount and an annual interest rate. I'm having trouble getting it into a for loop but I feel like I'm somewhat close? The hard part in my mind is understanding how to get the last months total into the new calculation.
Here's my formula for the compound value currently:
firstMonth = savingAmount * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
secondMonth = (savingAmount + firstMonth) * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
thirdMonth = (savingAmount + secondMonth) * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
fourthMonth = (savingAmount + thirdMonth) * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
fifthMonth = (savingAmount + fourthMonth) * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
sixthMonth = (savingAmount + fifthMonth) * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
It is ugly obviously and it should be in a for-loop. Again the savingAmount is user input and the annualInterestRate is user input. The the monthlyInterestRate is annualInterestRate/12.
Here is the for-loop I have so far.
for (int i = 1; i <= 6; i++ );
{
sixthMonth = savingAmount * Math.pow(1+monthlyInterestRate, 6);
}
I am still learning for-loops but doesn't my code say it adds up while it is less than or equal to 6? And while those are true to do the formula I provided. No you don't have to answer the question but if you could lead me in the right direction that'd be great. So how would I start to convert it? Feel free to ask for more info if needed.
Try this:
for (int i = 1; i <= 6; i++) {
monthAmount = (savingAmount + monthAmount) * (1 + monthlyInterestRate);
}
This should get you to the same answer.
You were on the right track, but this will allow you to use the previous months amount in the formula. This code will also work for however long you want the loop to run for.
I would actually recommend using the compound interest formula A = P (1 + r/n) ^ nt.
A - final amount with compound growth
P - principal investment
r - annual interest rate
n - number of times the interest is compounded per time period
t - number of time periods compounded
So you could then reduce all of this to:
amount = savingAmount * Math.pow(1 + monthlyInterestRate/timesCompoundedPerMonth,
timesCompoundedPerMonth * monthsCompounded);
Compound Interest Formula - Explained
I would recommending storing the amounts in a list for easy lookup if you want to see how much savings you will have at each month.
public static void main(String args[]) {
double savingsAmount = 543.23;
double annualInterestRate = 0.85; // %
double monthlyInterestRate = annualInterestRate / 12;
List<Double> savings = new ArrayList<Double>();
savings.add(savingsAmount); // month 0
int monthsInTheFuture = 6;
double compoundInterest = 1 + monthlyInterestRate;
for (int i = 1; i <= monthsInTheFuture; i++) {
double previousSavings = savings.get(i-1);
double nextSavings = previousSavings * compoundInterest;
savings.add(nextSavings);
}
System.out.println(savings);
}

java compound interest with contributions formula

I am currently trying to develop a compound interest calculator that includes monthly contributions. I have successfully been able to get the compound interest calculation working without the monthly contributions using the following line of code, but cannot figure out what the formula should be when adding monthly contributions.
double calculatedValue = (principalValue * Math.pow(1 + (interestRateValue/numberOfCompoundsValue), (termValue * numberOfCompoundsValue)));
When trying to get the calculated value with contributions I changed the way this is done. See the following code how I approached this.
//The starting principal
double principalValue = 5000;
//Interest rate (%)
double interestRateValue = 0.05;
//How many times a year to add interest
int numberOfCompoundsValue = 4;
//The number of years used for the calculation
double termValue = 30;
//The monthly contribution amount
double monthlyContributionsValue = 400;
//How often interest is added. E.g. Every 3 months if adding interest 4 times in a year
int interestAddedEveryXMonths = 12/numberOfCompoundsValue;
//The total number of months for the calculation
int totalNumberOfMonths = (int)(12 * termValue);
for(int i = 1; i <= totalNumberOfMonths; i++)
{
principalValue += monthlyContributionsValue;
if(i % interestAddedEveryXMonths == 0)
{
principalValue += (principalValue * interestRateValue);
}
}
I figured this should do what I am after. Every month increase the principal by the contribution amount and if that month equals a month where interest should be added then calculate the interest * the interest rate and add that to the principal.
When using the values above I expect the answer $355,242.18 but get $10511941.97, which looks better in my bank account but not in my calculation.
If anyone can offer me some help or point out where I have gone wrong that would be much appreciated.
Thanks in advance
Your problem is here:
principalValue += (principalValue * interestRateValue);
You're adding a full year's interest every quarter, when you should be adding just a quarter's interest. You need to scale that interest rate down to get the right rate.
Here's an example:
class CashFlow {
private final double initialDeposit;
private final double rate;
private final int years;
private final double monthlyContribution;
private final int interestFrequency;
CashFlow(double initialDeposit, double rate, int years,
double monthlyContribution, int interestFrequency) {
if ( years < 1 ) {
throw new IllegalArgumentException("years must be at least 1");
}
if ( rate <= 0 ) {
throw new IllegalArgumentException("rate must be positive");
}
if ( 12 % interestFrequency != 0 ) {
throw new IllegalArgumentException("frequency must divide 12");
}
this.initialDeposit = initialDeposit;
this.rate = rate;
this.years = years;
this.monthlyContribution = monthlyContribution;
this.interestFrequency = interestFrequency;
}
public double terminalValue() {
final int interestPeriod = 12 / interestFrequency;
final double pRate = Math.pow(1 + rate, 1.0 / interestPeriod) - 1;
double value = initialDeposit;
for ( int i = 0; i < years * 12; ++i ) {
value += monthlyContribution;
if ( i % interestFrequency == interestFrequency - 1 ) {
value *= 1 + pRate;
}
}
return value;
}
}
class CompoundCalc {
public static void main(String[] args) {
CashFlow cf = new CashFlow(5000, 0.05, 30, 400, 3);
System.out.println("Terminal value: " + cf.terminalValue());
}
}
with output:
run:
Terminal value: 350421.2302849443
BUILD SUCCESSFUL (total time: 0 seconds)
which is close to the $355k value you found.
There are a number of different conventions you could use to get the quarterly rate. Dividing the annual rate by 4 is a simple and practical one, but the pow(1 + rate, 1 / 4) - 1 method above is more theoretically sound, since it's mathematically equivalent to the corresponding annual rate.
After some brief testing I've come to the conclusion that either you have:
miscalculated the value you want ($355,242.18)
OR
incorrectly asked your question
The calculation you've described that you want ($5000 start + $400 monthly contributions for 30 years + interest every 3 months) is found by the code you've provided. The value that it gives ($10,511,941.97) is indeed correct from what I can see. The only other suggestions I can offer are to only use double if you need to (for example termValue can be an int) AND when ever you know the value is not going to change (for example interestRateValue) use final. It will help avoid any unforeseen error in larger programs. I hope this helps you figure out your interest calculator or answers any questions you have.
static void Main(string[] args)
{
double monthlyDeposit;
double rateOfInterest;
double numberOfCompounds;
double years;
double futureValue = 0;
double totalAmount = 0;
Console.WriteLine("Compound Interest Calculation based on monthly deposits");
Console.WriteLine("Monthly Deposit");
monthlyDeposit = Convert.ToDouble(Console.ReadLine());
Console.WriteLine("Rate Of Interest");
rateOfInterest = Convert.ToDouble(Console.ReadLine());
Console.WriteLine("Number of Compounds in a year");
numberOfCompounds = Convert.ToDouble(Console.ReadLine());
Console.WriteLine("Number of year");
years = Convert.ToDouble(Console.ReadLine());
futureValue = monthlyDeposit;
for (int i = 1; i <= years * 12; i++)
{
totalAmount = futureValue * (1 + (rateOfInterest / 100) / 12);
if (i == years * 12)
futureValue = totalAmount;
else
futureValue = totalAmount + monthlyDeposit;
}
Console.WriteLine("Future Value is=" + futureValue);
Console.ReadLine();
}
//Output
Compound Interest Calculation based on monthly Deposits
Monthly Deposit
1500
Rate Of Interest
7.5
Number of Compounds in a year
12
Number of year
1
Future Value is=18748.2726237313

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